July 4 market crash: No specific information on unfair trading on Lok Sabha polls results day, govt informs parliament


The government informed Parliament on Monday that the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) received representations over the market fall on June 4—the day the Lok Sabha election results were announced. However, the market regulator has no specific information on any ‘unfair trading’ that took place in the stock market on that day, which wiped out 30 lakh crores of investors’ wealth.

In a written reply to a question related to the moves registered on the Sensex and the Nifty on June 4, Minister of State for Finance Pankaj Chaudhary said, “Though SEBI has received representations on the above stock market movements, no specific information on any unfair trading has been provided.”

It is important to note that on July 4, the benchmark BSE Sensex had shot up 3.4% to settle at a new closing peak on June 3 after exit polls predicted a resounding BJP victory in general polls.

However, on July 4, equity markets witnessed a bloodbath, with Nifty and Sensex declining nearly 6%, while the Midcap and Smallcap indices slipped as much as 8%. This was the worst single-day fall in four years.

“On 4th June 2024, the date of announcement of results of the general elections, Sensex and NIFTY-50 decreased by 5.7% and 5.9% respectively. The indices recovered within three days and have reached record levels since 4th June 2024, registering an increase of 12.9% and 13.3% respectively as on 18th July, 2024,” Chaudhary said.

However, the minister said that the 30 lakh crore investor wealth lost on June 4, was recovered in a matter of five days and has increased by around 59 lakh crore since that day as of July 18, 2024.

“The decrease of around 30 lakh crore in market capitalisation of companies listed on NSE and BSE on June 4, 2024, was recovered within a period of five days and it has increased by around 59 lakh crore since then as on July 18,” the MoS finance added.

“Stock market movements are a function of investor perceptions along with other factors which may include, inter-alia, global economic scenarios affecting foreign capital flows, domestic macro-economic parameters and overall corporate performance,” the Minister said.

The Sebi, as the statutory regulator of securities markets, is mandated to put in place regulatory and surveillance frameworks to effect stable operations and development of the securities markets. It conducts regular surveillance of trends in the securities markets to enhance market integrity and safeguard the interests of investors.



#July #market #crash #specific #information #unfair #trading #Lok #Sabha #polls #results #day #govt #informs #parliament

Stock market strategy for Budget 2024: How to trade in Bank Nifty options? Rahul Ghose explains


Indian stock market benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty 50 are witnessing heightened volatility ahead of the presentation of Union Budget 2024 by Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Tuesday, July 23.

Budget 2024 will be the first full budget of Modi 3.0 government and is widely expected to be growth-oriented with key focus on capex and fiscal prudence. The stock market is expected to remain volatile during the budget presentation as sector specific announcements tend to impact the stocks.

“Budget days are usually very volatile with the index tending to move in both directions during the course of the day. Market participants expect the Union Budget 2024 should aim to balance growth-driven initiatives with a populist measures, focusing on digital infrastructure, fiscal discipline, and support for key sectors like manufacturing and agriculture to stimulate economic development,” said Rahul Ghose, CEO of Hedged.in.

However, the stock market can respond adversely to unforeseen developments in the budget. Consequently, it is essential for investors to devise a comprehensive hedging strategy to mitigate the impact of such events.

Ghose advises a low risk strategy in the Bank Nifty index that can be employed to play the budget day. He believes this becomes important for traders and investors to plan a fully hedged strategy to weather any untoward surprises in the budget.

Speaking on the Budget trading strategy for Bank Nifty options, Ghose recommends Cross Calendar Spread. A calendar spread is an options strategy that involves simultaneously entering long and short positions on the same underlying asset but with different delivery dates.

As per the Cross Calendar Spread for Bank Nifty, traders can buy Bank Nifty Put option with a longer expiry and simultaneously sell a Bank Nifty Put option with a shorter expiry date.

Here’s the budget trading strategy for Bank Nifty by Rahul Ghose:

Trade name:

Bank Nifty Cross Calendar spread

Trade Structure:

  • Buy 51000PE August 28th expiry
  • Sell 50500PE July 31st expiry

Trade rules:

The capital required in the trade is approximately 20,000. According to Ghose, this trade can be entered if Bank Nifty is between 52,500 and 51,500 on or before the budget day.

The maximum loss in the trade is 3,000 and the target in the trade should be 4-5% on the capital depending upon the time and individual risk appetite, he said.

Trade Modifications:

The trade is protected with a limited risk, but one can further bring down the risk by constantly selling weekly expiry puts of subsequent weeks.

For example: At the end of July, one can buy back the 31st July PE and sell the 7th August or week after that PE. Just make sure that you get at least 80 when you are selling the Puts, Ghose added.

Disclaimer: The views and recommendations made above are those of individual analysts or broking companies, and not of Mint. We advise investors to check with certified experts before making any investment decisions.



#Stock #market #strategy #Budget #trade #Bank #Nifty #options #Rahul #Ghose #explains

Profit-booking ahead of key company results, budget pull down markets


Mumbai: Profit-booking ahead of key corporate earnings and the budget next week dragged down benchmark indices the most in a month-and-a-half on Friday. Fear gauge India Vix rose to the highest level in over a month.

The Nifty fell 1.09% to 24,530.9 while the Sensex pulled back from the 81,000 mark 0.9% to 80,604.65. Both indices hit fresh record highs – 24,854.8 and 81,587.76-at opening before pulling back and closing marginally off their lows. Broader markets fell twice as much.

Reliance Industries (48.26 points), Tata Steel (16), M&M (15.4), NTPC (14.08), Tata Motors, Bharti Airtel and HDFC Bank were the biggest drags on the Nifty, contributing to half its 269.95 fall.

“Investors and traders took some money off the table after a one-way rally from 4 June, ahead of Reliance results post market hours Friday, Kotak Mahindra Bank and HDFC Bank on Saturday and the budget on Tuesday,” said Dhiraj Relli, managing director and chief director of HDFC Securities.

While Relli doesn’t expect any negative surprises from the results or the budget for the market, the sharp rally from the day of the elections to date makes it “prudent to take some money off the table.”

Nifty and Sensex have rallied 12% each to Friday’s closing after the Narendra Modi-led NDA won a historic third term in office.

The rally since the date of the election results has been driven by foreign institutional investors, who have net purchased shares worth 57,337 crore in the past two months through 18 July after selling shares worth 34,257 crore in April-May. 

Midcaps Down

Institutional activity for 19 July was awaited until press time. However, investor selling was more focused on mid and small caps. The Nifty Midcap 150 fell 2.09% to 20812.25 while the Nifty Smallcap 250 fell by 2.36% to 17163.40.

Small caps that fell the most included MCX, Mastek, JK Paper, Apar Industries and Chennai Petroleum which fell 6-11%.

Gaurav Dua, SVP- head capital market strategy at Sharekhan by BNP Paribas, expects the large caps to outperform small and microcap stocks due to favourable risk-reward , in the sessions ahead. He is bullish IT enabled services, consumer, pharma and some names within the specialty chemical sectors.

As Reliance and HDFC Bank are index heavyweights, their results could have a bearing on Nifty, which reopens on Monday.



#Profitbooking #ahead #key #company #results #budget #pull #markets

Indian stock market: 10 key things that changed for market overnight – Gift Nifty, fall in Dow Jones, Infosys Q1 results


Indian stock market: The domestic equity benchmark indices, Sensex and Nifty 50, are expected to open on a cautious note Friday tracking losses in global markets.

Asian markets traded lower, while the US stock market ended sharply in the red overnight dragged by losses in tech stocks.

On Thursday, the Indian stock market benchmark indices ended with healthy gains, led by a rally in IT stocks.

The Sensex surged 626.91 points, or 0.78%, to close at 81,343.46, while the Nifty 50 settled 187.85 points, or 0.76%, higher at 24,800.85.

“SEBI’s proposal for a new asset class between mutual funds and PMS with a Rs10 lakh ticket size, continued FII buying and a rise in India’s GDP forecast by both IMF and ADB supported the market as Nifty made a smart recovery. We expect this ongoing momentum to continue with stock-specific action. All eyes would be on the budget next week which could set the tone for the next leg of the market rally,” said Siddhartha Khemka, Head – Retail Research, Motilal Oswal Financial Services Ltd.

Also Read | Buy or sell: Vaishali Parekh recommends three stocks to buy today — July 19

Here are key global market cues for Sensex today:

Asian Markets

Asian markets traded lower on Friday tracking overnight losses on Wall Street.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 0.16%, while the Topix declined 0.28%. South Korea’s Kospi plunged 0.93%, and the Kosdaq lost 0.29%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index futures indicated a lower opening.

Gift Nifty Today

Gift Nifty was trading around 24,840 level, a premium of nearly 30 points from the Nifty futures’ previous close, indicating a mildly positive start for the Indian stock market indices.

Wall Street

US stock market ended sharply lower on Thursday dragged by selling in megacap growth stocks, with the blue-chip Dow falling the most.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 533.06 points, or 1.29%, to 40,665.02, while the S&P 500 declined 43.68 points, or 0.78%, to 5,544.59. The Nasdaq Composite closed 125.70 points, or 0.7%, lower at 17,871.22.

Domino’s Pizza shares tumbled 13.6%, while homebuilder D.R. Horton shares price jumped 10.1%. Warner Bros Discovery share gained 2.4%.

Also Read | Dividend stocks: Bosch, LIC, TCS among 36 stocks to trade ex-dividend today

US Jobless Claims

The number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment benefits rose more than expected last week. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits increased 20,000 to a seasonally adjusted 243,000 for the week ended July 13. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 230,000 claims for the latest week.

Infosys Q1 Results

Infosys reported a consolidated net profit of 6,368 crore in the quarter ended June, a drop of 20% from 7,969 crore in the March quarter. Infosys Q1FY25 revenue increased 3.7% to 39,315 crore from 37,923 crore, QoQ, while its sequential revenue growth in USD terms was 3.4% at $4,717 million. EBIT rose 8.8% to 8,288 crore, while EBIT margin improved by 100 bps QoQ to 21.7%. Infosys raised its revenue growth guidance for FY25 in the range of 3% to 4%, while FY25 margin guidance was retained at 20% to 22%.

Also Read | Infosys shares in focus as ADR jumps over 8% after Q1 results beat estimate

European Central Bank Policy

The European Central Bank kept interest rates unchanged at 4.25% but said September’s meeting was “wide open” as it downgraded its view of the euro zone’s economic prospects and predicted that inflation would keep on falling, Reuters reported. The ECB had cut rates from record highs last month.

Japan Inflation

Japan’s inflation was slightly higher in June, with prices rising 2.6% on-year compared with 2.5% in May. But the core Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading, which excludes volatile fresh food prices, was still softer than market expectations of a 2.7% increase.

RBI Bulletin

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said that the economy’s natural rate of interest has increased since the pandemic and will rise further, driven by the growth of potential output. It estimated the natural rate was 1.4-1.9% in Q4FY24, higher than the 0.8-1.0% in the Q3FY22, the last time it made an estimate, the central bank said in its monthly bulletin.

Also Read | Bandhan Bank, SAIL, Vedanta among 11 stocks in F&O ban list today

Dollar, Treasury Yields

US Treasury yields rose and the dollar gained on Thursday.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies, gained 0.49% at 104.18 a day after touching a four-month low of 103.64, and was on track for its biggest daily percentage gain since June 13.

US 10-year treasury yields rose 4.4 basis points to 4.19%, while the interest rate sensitive two-year yields were up 3.4 bps at 4.463%. The yield curve between two-year and 10-year notes steepened one basis point on the day to minus 27 basis points.

Oil Prices

Crude oil prices fell on Friday, setting up for a second weekly decline. Brent crude prices fell 0.6% to $84.50 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures declined 0.9% to $82.10 a barrel.

(With inputs from Reuters)

Disclaimer: The views and recommendations made above are those of individual analysts or broking companies, and not of Mint. We advise investors to check with certified experts before making any investment decisions.

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#Indian #stock #market #key #changed #market #overnight #Gift #Nifty #fall #Dow #Jones #Infosys #results

Stock market today: Trade setup for Nifty 50 to Bank Nifty, five stocks to buy or sell on Wednesday — July 3


Stock market today: Market indices benchmark – Nifty and Sensex – reached new intra-day highs  on Tuesday but couldn’t maintain the momentum, closing with slight losses due to subdued global signals. The Nifty 50 reached a new all-time peak of 24,236.35 during the session but concluded slightly lower, down 18 points or 0.07 per cent, at 24,123.85. Similarly, the Sensex, comprising 30 shares, achieved a fresh record high of 79,855.87 before settling with a minor decline of 35 points or 0.04 per cent, closing at 79,441.45.

“The domestic market took a breather, resonating with the mixed global trend, with the ECB showing caution regarding further rate cuts. In sectoral trends, IT stocks gained due to expected increases in discretionary spending, while auto stocks declined following lower-than-expected monthly volumes. The investors are closely monitoring the progress of the monsoon, the forthcoming union budget, alongside the US election, which can have potential global economic implications. Recent spikes in US Treasury yields and a gradual rise in crude oil prices are affecting market trends,” said Vinod Nair, Head of Research, Geojit Financial Services.

Also Read | Zerodha may end zero brokerage model for equity delivery trades: Nithin Kamath

Trade setup for Wednesday

On the outlook for Nifty today, Rupak De, Senior Technical Analyst, LKP Securities, said, “The Nifty faced profit booking around 24,200, leading to a close 100 points off the high. The sentiment is likely to favour selling on rallies until it moves above 24,250. On the lower end, 24,000 is likely to act as immediate support for the Nifty. A fall below 24,000 might trigger a correction towards 23,850/23,700.”

On today’s outlook for the Bank Nifty, Kunal Shah, Senior Technical & Derivative Analyst at LKP Securities, said, “The Bank Nifty index witnessed selling pressure from higher levels and faced rejection at the 52,400-52,500 levels. The index remains in a sell-on-rise mode with the next immediate support at the 52,000-51,800 zone. If the index fails to hold this support, it can witness further selling pressure towards the 51,400-51,300 level.”

Buy or sell stock ideas by experts

Regarding stocks to buy today, stock market experts Sumeet Bagadia, Executive Director at Choice Broking, and Ganesh Dongre, Senior Manager of Technical Research at Anand Rathi, recommended these five buy-or-sell stocks: SBI Life, Indigo, DMart, Bombay Dyeing and Craftsman.

Also Read | Stocks to buy: Dabur, Wipro among top four stock picks by SMC Global Securities

Sumeet Bagadia’s stocks to buy today

1] SBI Life Insurance: Buy at 1,495, target 1,550, stop loss 1,460

In the recent short-term trend analysis of the stock, a notable bullish reversal pattern has emerged. This technical pattern suggests the possibility of a temporary retracement in the stock’s price, potentially reaching around 1,550. At present, the stock is maintaining a crucial support level at 1,460. Given the current market price of around 1,495, a buying opportunity is emerging. This suggests that investors might consider purchasing the stock at its current price, anticipating a rise towards the identified target of 1,550.

2] Indigo: Buy at 4,249, target 4,380, stop loss 4,180

We have seen a major support in this stock around 4,180 So, at the current juncture, the stock has again seen a reversal price action formation at the 4,249 price level, which may continue its rally till its next resistance level of 4,380 so traders can buy and hold this stock with a stop loss of 4,180 for the target price of 4,380 in the upcoming weeks.

3] DMart: Buy at 4,770, target 4,950, stop loss 4,650

In the recent short-term trend analysis of the stock, a notable bullish reversal pattern has emerged. This technical pattern suggests that there could be a temporary retracement in the stock’s price, possibly to around 4,950 Currently, the stock is holding a crucial support level at 4,650.

Also Read | Nifty 50 rockets 5,000 points in a year, ends 9 of last 12 months in the green

Ganesh Dongre’s buy or sell stocks

4] Bombay Dyeing: Buy at 216.50, target 228, stop loss 4650

Bombay Dyeing is exhibiting strong bullish momentum, currently recording an all-time high of 219.3 levels. The recent breakout above the crucial resistance at 207 levels is a significant technical development, supported by robust trading volumes, reinforcing the strength in the stock. The breakthrough suggests a potential continuation of the upward trend, offering an optimistic outlook for investors.

Additionally, Bombay Dyeing stock is trading above key moving averages, including the short-term (20 Day), medium-term (50 Day), and long-term (200 Day) EMAs, further affirming its bullish stance. The momentum indicator, Relative Strength Index (RSI), is at 75 levels.

For traders, keeping an eye on the strong support near 209 levels is advisable, as a breach of this level could signal a shift in sentiment. Overall, Bombay Dyeing current technical setup suggests a favourable environment for further upside potential, provided traders and investors remain vigilant to potential reversals and closely monitor key support and resistance levels.

Based on the above analysis we recommend buying Bombay Dyeing and the CMP of 216.50 with a stop loss of 209 for the target of 228.

5] Craftsman Automation: Buy at 5,695.3, target 5,999, stop loss 5,499

Craftsman Automation is exhibiting strong bullish momentum, currently trading at an all-time high of 5,791.2 levels. This breakout has been accompanied by a consolidation of the upward movement, characterized by higher highs and higher lows, supported by robust trading volumes, reinforcing the strength in the stock. The breakthrough suggests a potential continuation of the upward trend, offering an optimistic outlook for investors.

Additionally, Craftsman is trading above key moving averages, including the short-term (20 Day), medium-term (50 Day), and long-term (200 Day) EMAs, further affirming its bullish stance. The momentum indicator, Relative Strength Index (RSI), is at 84 levels.

For traders, keeping an eye on the strong support near 5,499 levels is advisable, as a breach of this level could signal a shift in sentiment. Overall, Craftsman’s current technical setup suggests a favourable environment for further upside potential, provided traders and investors remain vigilant to potential reversals and closely monitor key support and resistance levels.

Based on the above analysis we recommend buying Craftsman and the CMP of 5,695.3 with a stop loss of 5,499 for the target of 5,999.

Disclaimer: The views and recommendations above are those of individual analysts, experts, and broking companies, not of Mint. We advise investors to check with certified experts before making any investment decisions.



#Stock #market #today #Trade #setup #Nifty #Bank #Nifty #stocks #buy #sell #Wednesday #July

Stocks In Spotlight 21 June 2024: Five Stocks To Track Today | Markets News


New Delhi: Markets rallied for the sixth straight session on Thursday, with benchmark equity indices Sensex and Nifty zooming to all time fresh peaks. Sensex surged 141.34 points or 0.18 percent to finish at a new record closing of 77,478.93 while Nifty scaled 51 points or 0.22 percent to close at 23,567. 

Ajit Mishra – SVP, Research, Religare Broking Ltd said, “On the benchmark front, the Nifty index closed at 23,581, up 0.30%. Sectorally, realty, metal, and private banking finished in the green, while Pharma, PSU Bank, and Auto sectors lagged. Broader indices also edged higher, both gaining over half a percent.”

“Looking ahead, a decisive close above 23,600 in Nifty could trigger fresh upward momentum, potentially pushing the index to 24,000 levels. On the downside, 23,400 is expected to act as strong support. Besides banking and IT, themes like sugar, fertilizers and chemical are showing good traction on the expected lines. Traders should align their positions accordingly,” he added.

Meanwhile, ahead of the market opening today, as per Zeebiz, HDFC Life, Tata Motors, JM Financial, HPCL, BPCL are a couple of stocks that will likely be in focus today.


HDFC Life

HDFC Life Insurance shares are set to trade ex-dividend today. In the company’s Board meeting held on April 18, 2024, it had recommended a final dividend of Rs 2 per equity share of face value of Rs 10 each for FY 2023-24, subject to approval of the shareholders. The record date for payment of final dividend is Friday, 21 June 2024.


Tata Motors

Tata Motors has announced the launch of Tata Motors Fleet Verse – a comprehensive and innovative digital marketplace for Tata Motors Commercial Vehicles. The platform offers features like new vehicle discovery, configuration, acquisition, financing, and is future-proofed to include a range of additional services and features, making Fleet Verse a one-stop digital destination for all commercial vehicle needs.

JM Financial

Securities Exchange SEBI has directed the Company to not take any new mandate as lead manager in public issue of debt securities up to March 31, 2025 or such further date as may be specified by SEBI.

 

HPCL

HPCL’s shares are scheduled to trade ex-bonus today. The company has recommended Bonus Issue Proportion @ 1 share for every 2 Shares held.


BPCL

BPCL’s shares are scheduled to trade ex-bonus tomorrow (June 22). The Board has recommended issue of Bonus Shares in the ratio of 1:1 i.e. one new bonus equity share of Rs 10 each for every one existing equity shares of Rs 10. 

It has recommended a final dividend of Rs 21 per equity share of face value of Rs 10 each (pre-bonus), which translates into final dividend of Rs 10.5 per equity share of face value of Rs 10 per equity share) (post-bonus).



#Stocks #Spotlight #June #Stocks #Track #Today #Markets #News

Indian stock market: 7 key things that changed for market overnight – Gift Nifty, Asian markets to oil prices


Indian stock market: The domestic equity market is expected to open flat Thursday tracking mixed cues from Asian peers.

Asian markets traded mixed while the US stock market was closed for the Juneteenth holiday.

Market participants watch out for China’s one- and five-year loan prime rate fixing today. It is expected to remain unchanged after the People’s Bank of China earlier this week decided to keep the 1-year medium-term lending facility rate steady at 2.5%.

On Wednesday, the Indian stock market benchmark indices ended mixed amid profit booking at record high levels.

The Sensex gained 36.45 points, or 0.05%, to close at 77,337.59, while the Nifty 50 settled 41.90 points, or 0.18%, lower at 23,516.00.

“Strong buying in banking stocks helped Sensex sail through in a highly volatile trading session while Nifty ended weak as investors booked profit in auto, metals, oil & gas, telecom and realty shares after the recent upsurge. Ahead of the Budget, markets may see stock & sector-specific activities on hopes the government may increase outlay for sectors to push growth,” said Prashanth Tapse, Senior VP (Research), Mehta Equities Ltd.

Also Read: Stocks to buy: ICICI Direct suggests 5 shares with up to 8% upside

Here are key domestic and global market cues for Sensex today:

Asian Markets

Asian markets traded mixed as investors awaited China’s one- and five-year loan prime rates.

Japan’s Nikkei 225 fell 0.28%, while the Topix eased 0.12%. South Korea’s Kospi rose 0.06%, while the Kosdaq inched up 0.04%. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index futures indicated a lower opening.

Gift Nifty Today

Gift Nifty was trading around 23,522 level, a premium of nearly 20 points from the Nifty futures’ previous close, indicating a flat-to-positive start for the Indian stock market indices.

Also Read: India beats China (in stock performance)

Wall Street

US stock futures traded little changed. Futures tied to the S&P 500 rose 0.05%, while Nasdaq 100 futures gained 0.2%. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures added 0.2%.

European Markets

European markets ended lower on Wednesday, while UK stocks rose. The pan-European STOXX 600 closed down almost 0.2%. Britain’s FTSE 100 gained 0.2%, while French benchmark CAC 40 closed nearly 0.8% lower.

RBI Bulletin

The Indian economy is likely to sustain the growth momentum of the January-March quarter in the three months through June as private consumption grows and manufacturing and services pick up pace, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) officials said.

Read here: GDP growth maintaining pace seen in Q4, says RBI bulletin

MSP Hike

The Union Cabinet approved an increase in the minimum support prices (MSP) for all 14 kharif crops for the 2024-25 crop season that runs from July to June. The increase means farmers will get around 2 lakh crore as MSP – 35,000 crore more than what they got in the previous season

Read here: Cabinet approves increase in MSP of 14 kharif crops for 2024-25 season

Oil Prices

Brent crude futures rose as Israeli tanks advanced into Gaza, while US crude futures fell on the prospect of swelling oil inventories, Reuters reported. Brent crude futures for August delivery rose 0.11% to $85.16 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate crude for July fell 0.21%, to $81.40 per barrel.

(With inputs from Reuters)

Disclaimer: The views and recommendations made above are those of individual analysts or broking companies, and not of Mint. We advise investors to check with certified experts before making any investment decisions.

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Published: 20 Jun 2024, 07:00 AM IST



#Indian #stock #market #key #changed #market #overnight #Gift #Nifty #Asian #markets #oil #prices